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A Proof that Portfolios of Assets with Equal Pairwise Correlations Can Never Have Normally Distributed Returns
And a Demonstration of that via Monte-Carlo Simulation
In my prior article, here, I demonstrated how the effect of correlation on portfolio members returns is sufficient to kill any “normalization” that occurs in large portfolios due to the Central Limit Theorem.
In that article I dodged the issue of how to construct multivariate correlated returns, instead using a formula for the number of “effective degrees of freedom” in a portfolio, N*(ρ), when all pairwise correlations are equal.
To recap, this is the “Grinold-Kahn” structure
and we can, from it, simply compute the “effective degrees of freedom” by computing the variance of an equal weighted portfolio, which is the variance of the mean cross-sectional return of such…